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Google-Apple AI Deal Sparks Earnings Call Silence

Google-Apple AI Deal Sparks Earnings Call Silence

This article examines Alphabet's silence on the Google-Apple AI deal during its earnings call, detailing the partnership's history, $1 billion rumored payments for Siri upgrades, and impacts on search ads and AI monetization. It covers competitive pressures from Anthropic and regulatory risks.

10 min read

Alphabet’s Silence on the Google-Apple AI Deal Raises Eyebrows

In a move that caught many off guard, Alphabet chose not to address a key question from an investor during its recent fourth-quarter earnings call. The inquiry centered on the Google-Apple AI deal, specifically how the tech powerhouse is approaching partnerships like the one powering AI features for Siri. Rather than diving into the details, the question went unanswered entirely. This isn’t just an oversight—it’s a signal that Alphabet may not be fully prepared to discuss how such collaborations could reshape its core operations, which are now heavily leaning into artificial intelligence.

The Google-Apple AI deal represents a significant evolution in their relationship, building on years of cooperation while introducing new uncertainties. For investors and analysts tracking the intersection of big tech and AI, this evasion speaks volumes. As companies like Google push boundaries in search, cloud computing, and generative AI, partnerships with rivals like Apple could either bolster growth or complicate revenue streams. Let’s break down what happened on the earnings call, the history behind this alliance, and the broader implications for the future of AI-driven services.

The Earnings Call: An Unanswered Question on AI Partnerships

Earnings calls are typically a time for transparency, where executives field tough questions from Wall Street. But during Alphabet’s latest session, one analyst’s probe into AI partnerships—highlighting the Google-Apple AI deal—was met with silence. The question aimed to uncover Google’s strategic thinking on deals that integrate its AI capabilities into other ecosystems, like enhancing Siri with Google’s technology.

Instead of engaging, the Alphabet team moved on without acknowledgment. This isn’t the first time big tech has dodged specifics on sensitive deals, but it stands out given the stakes. CEO Sundar Pichai did make a brief nod to the partnership later in the call. He expressed satisfaction that Google is Apple’s “preferred cloud provider” and highlighted its role in developing “the next generation of Apple foundation models based on Gemini technology.” Chief Business Officer Philipp Schindler echoed the exact same phrasing when the topic arose again, keeping comments surface-level.

This minimal mention underscores a reluctance to elaborate. Why the brevity? The Google-Apple AI deal isn’t just a technical integration; it’s a potential pivot point for how Alphabet monetizes its AI investments. With AI reshaping everything from search to device interactions, investors want clarity on risks and rewards. By staying quiet, Alphabet leaves room for speculation about competitive pressures, regulatory scrutiny, and long-term profitability.

To understand the context, consider the earnings call’s broader tone. Alphabet reported strong results, but AI remains a double-edged sword. Heavy investments in models like Gemini have boosted innovation, yet they’ve also pressured margins. Partnerships like this one with Apple could offset costs, but only if they drive new revenue—something the company seems hesitant to unpack publicly.

A Historic Partnership: Google and Apple’s Symbiotic Relationship

The Google-Apple AI deal doesn’t exist in a vacuum. It’s the latest chapter in a decades-long partnership that has benefited both giants immensely. Over the years, Google and Apple have navigated a complex dynamic: competitors in hardware and software, yet collaborators where it counts. This alliance has been particularly lucrative in search, setting the stage for their foray into AI.

The Search Deal: Billions in Payments and Massive Reach

At the heart of their relationship is the search agreement, where Google pays Apple to remain the default search engine on iOS devices. Recent revelations from legal proceedings, including the Department of Justice’s antitrust case against Google, put this figure at a staggering $20 billion annually. That’s not pocket change—it’s a testament to how vital Apple’s ecosystem is to Google’s dominance.

In exchange, Google taps into Apple’s vast user base. Apple reported 2.5 billion active devices worldwide in its last quarter, spanning iPhones, iPads, Macs, and more. This scale is enormous: it means billions of daily searches funneled through Google before users even think about alternatives. For Apple, the revenue diversifies its income beyond hardware sales, funding everything from R&D to ecosystem expansions.

This deal has faced scrutiny, with critics arguing it stifles competition by locking in Google’s position. Yet, from a business perspective, it’s a win-win. Google secures a steady stream of queries, while Apple gets a cut without building its own search infrastructure. The arrangement has endured challenges, including app store disputes and privacy debates, but it remains a cornerstone of both companies’ strategies.

Evolving from Search to AI: Mutual Benefits in a New Era

As AI emerges as the next frontier, the Google-Apple AI deal extends this model. Rumors suggest Apple is paying Google roughly $1 billion per year to leverage its AI tech for Siri enhancements. Unlike the search deal, where the payoff for Google is crystal clear through ad revenue, the AI side introduces more ambiguity.

For Apple, integrating Google’s AI could accelerate Siri’s capabilities, making it more conversational and context-aware. Siri has lagged behind rivals like Google Assistant in natural language processing, so this partnership levels the playing field. Google, meanwhile, gains deeper embedding in Apple’s devices, potentially exposing more users to its ecosystem—think Gemini-powered suggestions right in iOS.

The mutual benefits echo the search era but with AI’s twist. Apple avoids the massive costs of training foundation models from scratch, while Google distributes its tech to a premium audience. However, this isn’t without risks. Regulatory bodies watching the search deal closely might extend their gaze to AI, questioning if such partnerships entrench monopolies.

Unpacking the Google-Apple AI Deal: Powering Siri with Gemini

The specifics of the Google-Apple AI deal focus on elevating Siri through Google’s Gemini technology. Announced quietly, the collaboration aims to build “the next generation of Apple foundation models” using Gemini as a base. This means Siri could soon handle more complex tasks, like generating responses, summarizing information, or even assisting with creative workflows—all powered by Google’s AI prowess.

Rumored Financials and Strategic Value

While exact terms remain under wraps, industry whispers point to Apple footing a $1 billion annual bill. This is a fraction of the search deal’s value but significant for AI, where development costs run into the billions. For Google, the immediate financial upside might be limited, but the long-term play is strategic. Embedding Gemini in Siri exposes it to Apple’s loyal, high-spending users, fostering brand loyalty and data insights (within privacy bounds).

Apple’s move makes sense amid its own AI push. At events like WWDC, the company has teased Apple Intelligence features, blending on-device processing with cloud AI. Partnering with Google fills gaps in large language models, allowing Apple to iterate faster without diverting resources from hardware.

Integration Challenges and Opportunities

Integrating AI into Siri isn’t straightforward. Siri operates in a closed ecosystem, prioritizing privacy and seamlessness. Google’s involvement means navigating data flows between servers, ensuring responses feel native to iOS. Early tests suggest Gemini could enhance Siri’s understanding of user intent, reducing frustrating misinterpretations.

Opportunities abound: imagine Siri drafting emails with Gemini’s help or pulling real-time insights from Google services. For Google, this could subtly steer users toward its apps, like Maps or YouTube, embedded in responses. Yet, the deal’s success hinges on execution—any glitches could erode trust in both brands.

Monetizing AI: The Shift from Traditional Search to Experimental Models

One of the biggest unknowns in the Google-Apple AI deal is how it affects Google’s revenue engine. Search ads have long been Alphabet’s cash cow, generating billions through sponsored links. But AI introduces a new paradigm, where chatbots like those in AI Mode might bypass traditional results pages.

Traditional Search Ads vs. the AI Frontier

In standard Google Search, ads appear prominently at the top, driving clicks to advertisers. This model is proven and profitable. AI Mode, however, transforms queries into conversational experiences. Introduced as a chatbot-style interface, it aims to provide direct answers, potentially reducing the need for site visits—and ad clicks.

The Google-Apple AI deal amplifies this concern. If Siri routes queries through Google’s AI, how do ads fit in? Currently, ads in AI Mode are an “experiment.” Google first announced plans to incorporate them last May, positioning them below or integrated into chatbot responses. This subtle approach tests user tolerance without disrupting the flow.

Innovations in Ad Placement and Agentic Experiences

Google isn’t standing still. Beyond basic integrations, it’s exploring agentic shopping—AI that doesn’t just answer but acts, like guiding users to purchases. Shop with AI Mode is a prime example: for product queries, it offers seamless checkouts directly from the interface. This could open new ad avenues, such as sponsored recommendations or affiliate links embedded in AI suggestions.

Consider a user asking Siri about vacation gear. Powered by Gemini, it might suggest options, highlight deals from partners, and link to buy—all while tracking engagement for advertisers. Early pilots show promise, but scaling requires balancing utility with commercialization. Users want helpful AI, not sales pitches.

To illustrate the evolution:

Aspect Traditional Search Ads AI Mode Ads (Experimental)
Placement Top of results page Below or integrated in responses
User Interaction Click-through to sites Embedded suggestions or direct actions
Examples Sponsored links Agentic shopping, product recommendations
Monetization Potential High, immediate Emerging, long-term focus

This table highlights the transition: from passive links to proactive experiences. Success here could make AI a revenue booster, but failure risks alienating users who prefer ad-free interactions.

Competition Heats Up: Anthropic’s Challenge to Ad-Supported AI

The Google-Apple AI deal unfolds against fierce rivalry. Players like Anthropic, maker of Claude, are positioning themselves as alternatives. Anthropic’s upcoming Super Bowl ad takes direct aim at ad-supported models from OpenAI (ChatGPT) and Google, questioning their viability.

Anthropic’s Bold Strategy

By spotlighting the Super Bowl, Anthropic challenges the status quo. It argues that intrusive ads could undermine AI’s trustworthiness, appealing to users seeking pure, unbiased assistance. This contrasts with Google’s experiments, where ads are woven into responses to maintain relevance.

OpenAI faces similar debates, with ChatGPT Plus subscriptions funding development amid ad explorations. Anthropic’s move highlights a split in the industry: some bet on ads for scale, others on premium models or enterprise deals.

Broader Industry Implications

For the Google-Apple AI deal, this competition adds pressure. If users flock to ad-free alternatives, Google’s integrated approach might falter. Yet, Apple’s endorsement via Siri could validate Google’s model, drawing in advertisers eager for iOS exposure.

The landscape is dynamic. Microsoft integrates OpenAI into Bing with ads, while startups experiment with niche AI. Regulators, too, watch closely—antitrust concerns from the search deal could spill into AI, probing if partnerships like Google-Apple stifle innovation.

What Alphabet’s Silence Reveals About the Future

Alphabet’s decision to sidestep questions on the Google-Apple AI deal during the earnings call isn’t just cautionary—it’s strategic. With AI investments surging, the company is balancing disclosure with competitive edges. The brief mentions from Pichai and Schindler, using identical language, suggest coordinated messaging to avoid overcommitting.

Long-term, this partnership could redefine search and AI. The $20 billion search deal provided stability; the $1 billion AI arrangement offers growth potential. But unanswered questions linger: Will AI Mode ads scale? How will agentic features evolve? And can Google fend off challengers like Anthropic?

For investors, the silence is a reminder of uncertainties in AI’s business model. Traditional revenue might dip as conversations replace clicks, but innovations like Shop with AI Mode point to adaptation. Apple’s 2.5 billion devices amplify the stakes—success here could cement Google’s AI leadership.

As the industry evolves, expect more details to emerge. For now, the Google-Apple AI deal remains an open question, much like the earnings call itself. It hints at a future where partnerships drive AI forward, but only if monetization keeps pace. Alphabet’s reticence buys time to refine its approach, ensuring that when it does speak, it’s with confidence.

This deal underscores the intertwined fates of Google and Apple. From search defaults to Siri enhancements, their collaboration shapes how billions interact with technology. While the path ahead is unclear, one thing’s certain: AI partnerships like this will define the next decade of innovation.